Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ben Nguyen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 26, 2016·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Ben Nguyen wins(72.4%)
Actual result: Ben Nguyen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Nguyen has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ben Nguyen (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Ben Nguyen
Red Corner
VS
Geane Herrera
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
37
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben NguyenL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ryan Benoit · Nov 15L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Jul 16W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Jun 17L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Feb 18L
vs Wilson Reis · Dec 18Geane Herrera
oldest →latest
L
vs Ray Borg · Aug 15W
KOvs Joby Sanchez · Dec 15L
vs Ali Bagautinov · Jun 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben NguyenMetricGeane Herrera
3.51
Strikes / min
1.51
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
59%
Strike defense
52%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
0.83
63%
Takedown defense
38%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50Δ 4.06 — meaningful gap-3.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ben NguyenGeane Herrera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Nguyen(7 fights)Geane Herrera(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.2-29.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-25.025.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ben Nguyen
StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7
Geane Herrera
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4