Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ben Rothwell won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, May 22, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBen Rothwell: Well-roundedvsChris Barnett: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Ben Rothwell wins(71.4%)
Actual result: Ben Rothwell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Rothwell has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ben Rothwell has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ben Rothwell
Red Corner
VS
Chris Barnett
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
5'9"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben RothwellL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21Chris BarnettL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 21L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 22W
KOvs Jake Collier · Sep 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Oct 24L
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben RothwellMetricChris Barnett
3.71
Strikes / min
3.36
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
6.55
47%
Strike defense
36%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
35%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 2.27 — meaningful gap-3.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ben RothwellChris Barnett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Chris Barnett(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.9-22.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16
Chris Barnett
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6