Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcin Tybura won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, October 10, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupBen Rothwell: Well-roundedvsMarcin Tybura: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Marcin Tybura wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Marcin Tybura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Ben Rothwell
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Tybura
Blue Corner
-159
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
44
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben Rothwell
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben RothwellMetricMarcin Tybura
3.71
Strikes / min
3.56
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
47%
Strike defense
55%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
1.30
70%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ben RothwellMarcin Tybura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.6-17.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+59.0-59.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24