Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBen Rothwell: Well-roundedvsMarcos Rogerio de Lima: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(52.7%)
Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Ben Rothwell
Red Corner
VS
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
44
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben Rothwell
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben RothwellMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
3.71
Strikes / min
3.70
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
47%
Strike defense
51%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
1.40
70%
Takedown defense
59%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ben RothwellMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.5-24.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17