Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ben Rothwell won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2015·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupBen Rothwell: Well-roundedvsMatt Mitrione: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Matt Mitrione wins(56.1%)
Actual result: Ben Rothwell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Mitrione has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ben Rothwell has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).
- Matt Mitrione has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ben Rothwell
Red Corner
VS
Matt Mitrione
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
44
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'4"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben Rothwell
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21Matt Mitrione
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brendan Schaub · Sep 13W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben RothwellMetricMatt Mitrione
3.71
Strikes / min
3.55
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.79
47%
Strike defense
64%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
55%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ben RothwellMatt Mitrione
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Matt Mitrione(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-33.233.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+99.0-99.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16
Matt Mitrione
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights13