Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ben Saunders won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2014·Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA, USA
Style matchupBen Saunders: Well-roundedvsChris Heatherly: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Chris Heatherly wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Ben Saunders wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Saunders enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ben Saunders threatens submissions; Chris Heatherly has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Chris Heatherly has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ben Saunders has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ben Saunders
Red Corner
VS
Chris Heatherly
Blue Corner
-385
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+345
(22%)
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'9"
195.58 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben SaundersL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18L
SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19L
KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19Chris Heatherly
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Augusto Montano · Nov 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben SaundersMetricChris Heatherly
3.23
Strikes / min
1.08
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.20
TDs / 15 min
3.39
66%
Takedown defense
100%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ben SaundersChris Heatherly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Saunders(10 fights)Chris Heatherly(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.036.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Ben Saunders
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14
Chris Heatherly
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2