Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Manny Bermudez won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Sunday, February 17, 2019·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupBenito Lopez: Pressure fightervsManny Bermudez: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Benito Lopez wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Manny Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manny Bermudez threatens submissions; Benito Lopez has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Benito Lopez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Benito Lopez has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benito Lopez (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Benito Lopez
Red Corner
VS
Manny Bermudez
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
32
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benito Lopez
oldest →latest
W
vs Albert Morales · Dec 17W
vs Vince Morales · Jul 19L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Nov 22Manny BermudezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Albert Morales · Feb 18W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Jul 18L
vs Casey Kenney · Aug 19L
SUBvs Charles Rosa · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benito LopezMetricManny Bermudez
4.39
Strikes / min
2.92
5.18
Strikes absorbed / min
2.68
56%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.06
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
3.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.79Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap+0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Benito LopezManny Bermudez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benito Lopez(4 fights)Manny Bermudez(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.913.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+225.0-225.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Benito Lopez
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Manny Bermudez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5