Lightweight
3 Rounds
Benoit Saint Denis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 10, 2025·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupBenoit Saint Denis: WrestlervsKyle Prepolec: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(79.2%)
Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benoit Saint Denis enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Benoit Saint Denis has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Benoit Saint Denis
Red Corner
VS
Kyle Prepolec
Blue Corner
-1400
(93%)
Vegas Odds
+830
(11%)
30
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benoit Saint DenisW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Mar 24L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26Kyle PrepolecL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nordine Taleb · May 19L
vs Austin Hubbard · Sep 19L
KOvs Drew Dober · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benoit Saint DenisMetricKyle Prepolec
5.62
Strikes / min
3.25
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
5.69
42%
Strike defense
48%
4.19
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
45%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 3.97 — meaningful gap-2.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Benoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)Kyle Prepolec(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+83.4-83.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-1841.01841.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
Benoit Saint Denis
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12
Kyle Prepolec
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4