Lightweight
3 Rounds
Benoit Saint Denis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 6, 2025·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupBenoit Saint Denis: WrestlervsMauricio Ruffy: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(61.1%)
Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benoit Saint Denis enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Mauricio Ruffy is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Benoit Saint Denis has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Mauricio Ruffy has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Benoit Saint Denis
Red Corner
VS
Mauricio Ruffy
Blue Corner
+146
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-174
(64%)
30
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benoit Saint DenisW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Mar 24L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26Mauricio RuffyW4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · May 24W
vs James Llontop · Nov 24W
KOvs King Green · Mar 25W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benoit Saint DenisMetricMauricio Ruffy
5.62
Strikes / min
4.19
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
42%
Strike defense
58%
4.19
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
85%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Benoit Saint DenisMauricio Ruffy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)Mauricio Ruffy(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.2-11.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
Benoit Saint Denis
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12
Mauricio Ruffy
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5