Lightweight
3 Rounds
Benoit Saint Denis won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 2, 2023·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupBenoit Saint Denis: WrestlervsThiago Moises: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(74.3%)
Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benoit Saint Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Thiago Moises has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Benoit Saint Denis has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Benoit Saint Denis
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Moises
Blue Corner
-198
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
30
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benoit Saint DenisW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26Thiago Moises
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Jan 23W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24L
vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24W
vs Trey Ogden · Jan 25L
KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benoit Saint DenisMetricThiago Moises
5.62
Strikes / min
2.52
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
42%
Strike defense
52%
4.19
TDs / 15 min
1.37
72%
Takedown defense
52%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 3.41 — meaningful gap-1.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Benoit Saint DenisThiago Moises
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)Thiago Moises(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.98.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-161.0161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Benoit Saint Denis
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12
Thiago Moises
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15