Welterweight
5 Rounds
Benson Henderson won · SUB R4
UFC Event·Saturday, February 14, 2015·Broomfield, Colorado, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Benson Henderson wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Benson Henderson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Thatch enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Benson Henderson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Thatch (54.1%).
- Brandon Thatch has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Benson Henderson
Red Corner
VS
Brandon Thatch
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
42
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
6'2"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benson Henderson
oldest →latest
W
vs Josh Thomson · Jan 14W
SUBvs Rustam Khabilov · Jun 14L
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 14L
vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 15Brandon ThatchL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Justin Edwards · Aug 13W
KOvs Paulo Thiago · Nov 13L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Jul 15L
SUBvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Mar 16L
SUBvs Niko Price · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benson HendersonMetricBrandon Thatch
2.93
Strikes / min
2.70
1.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
63%
Strike defense
52%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
1.36
63%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.14Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap-0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Benson HendersonBrandon Thatch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benson Henderson(10 fights)Brandon Thatch(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+59.1-59.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-435.0435.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Benson Henderson
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Brandon Thatch
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6