Lightweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Benson Henderson won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, December 8, 2012·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupBenson Henderson: WrestlervsNate Diaz: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Benson Henderson wins(64.5%)
Actual result: Benson Henderson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Diaz threatens submissions; Benson Henderson has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Benson Henderson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Benson Henderson has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Nate Diaz has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Benson Henderson
Red Corner
VS
Nate Diaz
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
42
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Benson HendersonW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Rustam Khabilov · Jun 14L
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 14L
vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15W
SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Feb 15W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 15Nate Diaz
oldest →latest
L
vs Conor McGregor · Aug 16W
vs Anthony Pettis · Aug 19L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 19L
vs Leon Edwards · Jun 21W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Benson HendersonMetricNate Diaz
2.93
Strikes / min
4.57
1.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
63%
Strike defense
52%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
1.05
63%
Takedown defense
41%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.14evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Benson HendersonNate Diaz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Benson Henderson(10 fights)Nate Diaz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.5-37.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Benson Henderson
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Nate Diaz
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18