Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Karol Rosa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 2, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBethe Correia: Pressure fightervsKarol Rosa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Bethe Correia wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Karol Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bethe Correia has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Bethe Correia
Red Corner
VS
Karol Rosa
Blue Corner
+500
(17%)
Vegas Odds
-720
(88%)
42
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bethe Correia
oldest →latest
W
vs Jessica Eye · Sep 16L
KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17L
SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19W
vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20Karol Rosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Yana Santos · Jul 23L
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24L
vs Ailin Perez · Jan 25W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bethe CorreiaMetricKarol Rosa
4.37
Strikes / min
5.88
4.93
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
1.17
85%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.56Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bethe CorreiaKarol Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bethe Correia(10 fights)Karol Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.735.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Bethe Correia
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights11
Karol Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11