Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mario Bautista (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricky Simon
oldest →L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24W
KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25W
vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25D
vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26 latest Mario Bautista
oldest →W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Aug 23L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26 latest Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ricky SimonMario Bautista
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricky Simon(10 fights)Mario Bautista(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.4|Blue -4.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +112.0|Blue -112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage