Featherweight
3 Rounds
Bill Algeo won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 16, 2022·Elmont, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupBill Algeo: Pressure fightervsHerbert Burns: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Bill Algeo wins(81.0%)
Actual result: Bill Algeo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Herbert Burns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bill Algeo (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Bill Algeo
Red Corner
VS
Herbert Burns
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
36
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bill AlgeoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Fili · Sep 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Apr 23W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 24Herbert BurnsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jan 20W
SUBvs Evan Dunham · Jun 20L
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Aug 20L
KOvs Julio Arce · Mar 24L
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Aug 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bill AlgeoMetricHerbert Burns
5.88
Strikes / min
1.86
4.38
Strikes absorbed / min
5.17
47%
Strike defense
41%
1.03
TDs / 15 min
2.94
55%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.50Δ 4.81 — meaningful gap-3.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bill AlgeoHerbert Burns
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bill Algeo(10 fights)Herbert Burns(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.58.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-518.0518.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
Bill Algeo
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10
Herbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6