Featherweight
3 Rounds
Billy Quarantillo won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBilly Quarantillo: Submission grapplervsAlexander Hernandez: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Billy Quarantillo wins(74.4%)
Actual result: Billy Quarantillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Alexander Hernandez has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Billy Quarantillo
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Hernandez
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
37
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Billy QuarantilloL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Shane Burgos · Nov 21L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Mar 24L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 24Alexander HernandezW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Billy QuarantilloMetricAlexander Hernandez
7.44
Strikes / min
4.23
5.83
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
42%
Strike defense
59%
1.47
TDs / 15 min
1.05
61%
Takedown defense
68%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.61Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Billy QuarantilloAlexander Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.52.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Billy Quarantillo
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Alexander Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17