Middleweight
3 Rounds
Bo Nickal won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBo Nickal: WrestlervsJamie Pickett: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Bo Nickal wins(63.8%)
Actual result: Bo Nickal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jamie Pickett enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Bo Nickal has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bo Nickal (53.5%).
- Jamie Pickett has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Bo Nickal
Red Corner
VS
Jamie Pickett
Blue Corner
-1400
(93%)
Vegas Odds
+850
(11%)
30
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bo Nickal
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Val Woodburn · Jul 23W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 24W
vs Paul Craig · Nov 24L
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · May 25W
KOvs Rodolfo Vieira · Nov 25Jamie PickettL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joseph Holmes · Jan 22L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Feb 22L
KOvs Denis Tiuliulin · Sep 22L
vs Josh Fremd · Aug 23L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bo NickalMetricJamie Pickett
3.35
Strikes / min
2.65
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
59%
Strike defense
50%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
1.26
100%
Takedown defense
67%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.28Δ 2.25 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bo NickalJamie Pickett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bo Nickal(6 fights)Jamie Pickett(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.0-33.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
Bo Nickal
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Jamie Pickett
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9