Middleweight
3 Rounds
Bo Nickal won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 15, 2025·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupBo Nickal: WrestlervsRodolfo Vieira: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Bo Nickal wins(68.0%)
Actual result: Bo Nickal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bo Nickal has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bo Nickal has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bo Nickal (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Bo Nickal
Red Corner
VS
Rodolfo Vieira
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
30
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bo Nickal
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jamie Pickett · Mar 23W
KOvs Val Woodburn · Jul 23W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 24W
vs Paul Craig · Nov 24L
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · May 25Rodolfo Vieira
oldest →latest
L
vs Chris Curtis · Jun 22W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 23W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24L
vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25W
vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bo NickalMetricRodolfo Vieira
3.35
Strikes / min
3.43
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
4.28
59%
Strike defense
49%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
2.87
100%
Takedown defense
60%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.28Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bo NickalRodolfo Vieira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bo Nickal(6 fights)Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.60.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
Bo Nickal
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Rodolfo Vieira
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10