Middleweight
3 Rounds
Bo Nickal won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 8, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Bo Nickal wins(67.6%)
Actual result: Bo Nickal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bo Nickal has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bo Nickal has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bo Nickal (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Bo Nickal
Red Corner
VS
Val Woodburn
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
30
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'8"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bo Nickal
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jamie Pickett · Mar 23W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 24W
vs Paul Craig · Nov 24L
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · May 25W
KOvs Rodolfo Vieira · Nov 25Val Woodburn
oldest →latest
L
vs Oban Elliott · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bo NickalMetricVal Woodburn
3.35
Strikes / min
1.60
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
4.93
59%
Strike defense
36%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
1.92
100%
Takedown defense
50%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.28Δ 4.61 — meaningful gap-3.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bo NickalVal Woodburn
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bo Nickal(6 fights)Val Woodburn(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.8-16.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-47.647.6
Bo Nickal
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Val Woodburn
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2