Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Bogdan Guskov won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 18, 2025·Inglewood, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Bogdan Guskov wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Bogdan Guskov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Billy Elekana enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Billy Elekana threatens submissions; Bogdan Guskov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Bogdan Guskov has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Billy Elekana (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Bogdan Guskov
Red Corner
VS
Billy Elekana
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
33
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bogdan Guskov
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Volkan Oezdemir · Sep 23W
KOvs Zac Pauga · Feb 24W
KOvs Ryan Spann · Apr 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 25D
vs Jan Blachowicz · Dec 25Billy ElekanaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ibo Aslan · Jul 25W
SUBvs Kevin Christian · Nov 25W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bogdan GuskovMetricBilly Elekana
4.57
Strikes / min
2.71
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.59
44%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.85
57%
Takedown defense
0%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.48Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bogdan GuskovBilly Elekana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bogdan Guskov(6 fights)Billy Elekana(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.6-18.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Bogdan Guskov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Billy Elekana
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4