Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sultan Aliev won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2016·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sultan Aliev wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Sultan Aliev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sultan Aliev has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bojan Velickovic (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Bojan Velickovic
Red Corner
VS
Sultan Aliev
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
37
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bojan VelickovicL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Apr 16W
vs Nico Musoke · May 17L
vs Darren Till · Sep 17L
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 17Sultan Aliev
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kenny Robertson · Jan 15L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 18W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bojan VelickovicMetricSultan Aliev
2.18
Strikes / min
1.41
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
2.20
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.67
TDs / 15 min
1.76
55%
Takedown defense
100%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bojan VelickovicSultan Aliev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bojan Velickovic(5 fights)Sultan Aliev(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.5-36.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-442.0442.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Bojan Velickovic
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5
Sultan Aliev
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4