Lightweight
3 Rounds
Manoel Sousa won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBolaji Oki: Pressure fightervsManoel Sousa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Bolaji Oki wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Manoel Sousa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manoel Sousa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Bolaji Oki has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Bolaji Oki has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bolaji Oki has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Bolaji Oki
Red Corner
VS
Manoel Sousa
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-270
(73%)
30
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bolaji Oki
oldest →latest
W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Feb 24L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Sep 24W
vs Michael Aswell Jr. · May 25L
KOvs Mason Jones · Sep 25Manoel SousaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bolaji OkiMetricManoel Sousa
6.42
Strikes / min
4.15
5.12
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
61%
Strike defense
51%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.30evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bolaji OkiManoel Sousa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bolaji Oki(5 fights)Manoel Sousa(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Bolaji Oki
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5
Manoel Sousa
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1