Lightweight
3 Rounds
Bolaji Oki won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBolaji Oki: Pressure fightervsMichael Aswell Jr.: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Bolaji Oki wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Bolaji Oki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bolaji Oki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michael Aswell Jr. is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Bolaji Oki has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Bolaji Oki has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bolaji Oki has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Bolaji Oki has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Bolaji Oki
Red Corner
VS
Michael Aswell Jr.
Blue Corner
-620
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+460
(18%)
30
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bolaji OkiL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Feb 24L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Sep 24L
KOvs Mason Jones · Sep 25L
KOvs Manoel Sousa · Mar 26Michael Aswell Jr.
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Lucas Almeida · Oct 25L
vs Luke Riley · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bolaji OkiMetricMichael Aswell Jr.
6.42
Strikes / min
7.79
5.12
Strikes absorbed / min
7.43
61%
Strike defense
51%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
0.32
75%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.30evenly matched on net striking+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bolaji OkiMichael Aswell Jr.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bolaji Oki(5 fights)Michael Aswell Jr.(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Bolaji Oki
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5
Michael Aswell Jr.
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3