Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Garrett Armfield won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 20, 2024·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupBrad Katona: Pressure fightervsGarrett Armfield: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Brad Katona wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Garrett Armfield wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Garrett Armfield has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Katona
Red Corner
VS
Garrett Armfield
Blue Corner
-238
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
34
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad KatonaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Hunter Azure · Sep 19W
vs Cody Gibson · Aug 23W
vs Jesse Butler · Jun 24L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Oct 24L
KOvs Bekzat Almakhan · May 25Garrett ArmfieldL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs David Onama · Jul 22W
KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 23L
SUBvs Brady Hiestand · Jun 24L
vs Serhiy Sidey · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad KatonaMetricGarrett Armfield
4.81
Strikes / min
5.35
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
50%
Strike defense
56%
1.86
TDs / 15 min
1.10
61%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad KatonaGarrett Armfield
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Katona(9 fights)Garrett Armfield(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.0-11.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Brad Katona
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9
Garrett Armfield
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5