Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jean Matsumoto won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Katona: Pressure fightervsJean Matsumoto: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Brad Katona wins(70.6%)
Actual result: Jean Matsumoto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jean Matsumoto has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Katona
Red Corner
VS
Jean Matsumoto
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
34
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad Katona
oldest →latest
L
vs Hunter Azure · Sep 19W
vs Cody Gibson · Aug 23L
vs Garrett Armfield · Jan 24W
vs Jesse Butler · Jun 24L
KOvs Bekzat Almakhan · May 25Jean Matsumoto
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Dan Argueta · Apr 24L
vs Rob Font · Feb 25W
vs Miles Johns · Aug 25L
vs Farid Basharat · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad KatonaMetricJean Matsumoto
4.81
Strikes / min
5.37
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
5.41
50%
Strike defense
47%
1.86
TDs / 15 min
3.00
61%
Takedown defense
56%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad KatonaJean Matsumoto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Katona(9 fights)Jean Matsumoto(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.06.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Brad Katona
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9
Jean Matsumoto
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5