Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Merab Dvalishvili won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2019·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupBrad Katona: Pressure fightervsMerab Dvalishvili: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Brad Katona wins(70.9%)
Actual result: Merab Dvalishvili wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Merab Dvalishvili has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Katona
Red Corner
VS
Merab Dvalishvili
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad KatonaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Gibson · Aug 23L
vs Garrett Armfield · Jan 24W
vs Jesse Butler · Jun 24L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Oct 24L
KOvs Bekzat Almakhan · May 25Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →latest
W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25L
vs Petr Yan · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad KatonaMetricMerab Dvalishvili
4.81
Strikes / min
4.42
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
50%
Strike defense
54%
1.86
TDs / 15 min
5.97
61%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad KatonaMerab Dvalishvili
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Katona(9 fights)Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.1-47.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Brad Katona
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9
Merab Dvalishvili
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17