Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Michael McDonald won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2013·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Pickett: WrestlervsMichael McDonald: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Brad Pickett wins(59.0%)
Actual result: Michael McDonald wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Pickett
Red Corner
VS
Michael McDonald
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
47
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17Michael McDonald
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Miguel Torres · Apr 12L
SUBvs Renan Barao · Feb 13L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 13W
SUBvs Masanori Kanehara · Jan 16L
KOvs John Lineker · Jul 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricMichael McDonald
3.02
Strikes / min
2.69
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
55%
Strike defense
57%
2.47
TDs / 15 min
1.09
58%
Takedown defense
52%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.61Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad PickettMichael McDonald
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Michael McDonald(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.926.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Brad Pickett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Michael McDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9