Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Renan Barao won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2011·Birmingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupBrad Pickett: WrestlervsRenan Barao: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Brad Pickett wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Renan Barao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Pickett
Red Corner
VS
Renan Barao
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
47
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17Renan BaraoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricRenan Barao
3.02
Strikes / min
3.78
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
55%
Strike defense
57%
2.47
TDs / 15 min
1.49
58%
Takedown defense
91%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.61Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad PickettRenan Barao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Renan Barao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Brad Pickett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17