Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Thomas Almeida has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Almeida (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17 Thomas AlmeidaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Albert Morales · Nov 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 17L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricThomas Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.61Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad PickettThomas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Thomas Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -38.1|Blue +38.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad PickettTargetThomas Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brad Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:28
Knockdowns1
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Thomas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
