Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Fiziev won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Riddell: Pressure fightervsRafael Fiziev: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Brad Riddell wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Rafael Fiziev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Fiziev has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Brad Riddell
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Fiziev
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad RiddellL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Mustafaev · Feb 20W
vs Alex Da Silva · Sep 20W
vs Drew Dober · Jun 21L
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Jul 22L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Nov 22Rafael Fiziev
oldest →latest
L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 23L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad RiddellMetricRafael Fiziev
4.71
Strikes / min
4.71
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
4.84
53%
Strike defense
49%
1.77
TDs / 15 min
0.83
63%
Takedown defense
90%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.18Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad RiddellRafael Fiziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Riddell(7 fights)Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.9-12.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Brad Riddell
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7
Rafael Fiziev
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12