Lightweight
3 Rounds
Renato Moicano won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 12, 2022·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Riddell: Pressure fightervsRenato Moicano: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Brad Riddell wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano threatens submissions; Brad Riddell has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Riddell
Red Corner
VS
Renato Moicano
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad RiddellL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Mustafaev · Feb 20W
vs Alex Da Silva · Sep 20W
vs Drew Dober · Jun 21L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Dec 21L
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Jul 22Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad RiddellMetricRenato Moicano
4.71
Strikes / min
4.10
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.77
TDs / 15 min
1.68
63%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.18evenly matched on net striking+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad RiddellRenato Moicano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Riddell(7 fights)Renato Moicano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.716.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Brad Riddell
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20