Middleweight
3 Rounds
Aaron Simpson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 2, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsAaron Simpson: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Aaron Simpson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Aaron Simpson
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
38
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Aaron Simpson
oldest →latest
W
vs Mario Miranda · Mar 11W
vs Eric Schafer · Oct 11L
vs Ronny Markes · Feb 12W
vs Kenny Robertson · Jul 12L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Oct 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricAaron Simpson
3.41
Strikes / min
3.60
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
54%
Strike defense
56%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
3.78
80%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad TavaresAaron Simpson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Aaron Simpson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.6-52.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28
Aaron Simpson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8