Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, January 23, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsAntonio Carlos Junior: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Tavares has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Carlos Junior
Blue Corner
-134
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Antonio Carlos JuniorL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 16W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19L
vs Uriah Hall · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricAntonio Carlos Junior
3.41
Strikes / min
1.95
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
54%
Strike defense
52%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
3.42
80%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad TavaresAntonio Carlos Junior
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.5-46.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28
Antonio Carlos Junior
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11