Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 10, 2016·Cleveland, Ohio, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsCaio Magalhaes: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(66.5%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caio Magalhaes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Brad Tavares has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Caio Magalhaes
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Caio Magalhaes
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · Jun 13W
vs Nick Ring · Dec 13W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricCaio Magalhaes
3.41
Strikes / min
2.27
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.78
54%
Strike defense
56%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
1.05
80%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad TavaresCaio Magalhaes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.1-15.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+64.0-64.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28
Caio Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7