Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 5, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Tavares enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brad Tavares has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
-166
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Weidman · Aug 23L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Gerald MeerschaertL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Mar 24W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricGerald Meerschaert
3.41
Strikes / min
2.95
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
1.70
80%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25