Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 3, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsNate Marquardt: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Marquardt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nate Marquardt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Nate Marquardt
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
38
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Nate MarquardtL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Thiago Santos · May 16W
KOvs Tamdan McCrory · Oct 16L
vs Sam Alvey · Jan 17L
vs Vitor Belfort · Jun 17L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricNate Marquardt
3.41
Strikes / min
2.71
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
1.87
80%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad TavaresNate Marquardt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Nate Marquardt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.4-47.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28
Nate Marquardt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14