Middleweight
3 Rounds
Robert Bryczek won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 6, 2025·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsRobert Bryczek: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Robert Bryczek wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robert Bryczek is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Robert Bryczek
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+168
(37%)
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad Tavares
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Weidman · Aug 23L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Robert Bryczek
oldest →latest
L
vs Ihor Potieria · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricRobert Bryczek
3.41
Strikes / min
2.80
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
4.51
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.36
80%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brad TavaresRobert Bryczek
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Robert Bryczek(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+81.7-81.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-420.0420.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28
Robert Bryczek
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2