Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 19, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Seth Baczynski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brad Tavares has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Seth Baczynski
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Seth BaczynskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Melancon · Jul 13W
vs Neil Magny · Nov 13L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 14L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Aug 14L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Apr 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricSeth Baczynski
3.41
Strikes / min
3.08
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
54%
Strike defense
51%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.89
80%
Takedown defense
48%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Seth Baczynski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28
Seth Baczynski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11