Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brady Hiestand won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Brady Hiestand wins(69.8%)
Actual result: Brady Hiestand wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fernie Garcia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brady Hiestand has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brady Hiestand
Red Corner
VS
Fernie Garcia
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
27
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brady HiestandW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricky Turcios · Aug 21W
KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Apr 23W
SUBvs Garrett Armfield · Jun 24Fernie GarciaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Journey Newson · May 22L
vs Rinya Nakamura · Aug 23L
KOvs Hyder Amil · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brady HiestandMetricFernie Garcia
2.70
Strikes / min
2.04
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.79
51%
Strike defense
48%
4.80
TDs / 15 min
0.28
42%
Takedown defense
50%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.05evenly matched on net striking-1.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brady HiestandFernie Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brady Hiestand(4 fights)Fernie Garcia(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Brady Hiestand
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Fernie Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4