Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brady Hiestand won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrady Hiestand: WrestlervsGarrett Armfield: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Brady Hiestand wins(60.9%)
Actual result: Brady Hiestand wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Garrett Armfield has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brady Hiestand
Red Corner
VS
Garrett Armfield
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-285
(74%)
27
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brady HiestandW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricky Turcios · Aug 21W
vs Fernie Garcia · Nov 22W
KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Apr 23Garrett Armfield
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs David Onama · Jul 22W
KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 23W
vs Brad Katona · Jan 24L
vs Serhiy Sidey · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brady HiestandMetricGarrett Armfield
2.70
Strikes / min
5.35
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
51%
Strike defense
56%
4.80
TDs / 15 min
1.10
42%
Takedown defense
64%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.05Δ 2.76 — meaningful gap+1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brady HiestandGarrett Armfield
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brady Hiestand(4 fights)Garrett Armfield(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.11.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+273.0-273.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Brady Hiestand
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Garrett Armfield
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5