Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brandon Davis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 13, 2019·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupBrandon Davis: Pressure fightervsRandy Costa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Brandon Davis wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Brandon Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Davis enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Randy Costa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brandon Davis threatens submissions; Randy Costa has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Randy Costa (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Davis
Red Corner
VS
Randy Costa
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
36
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon DavisL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Sep 18L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 19L
vs Giga Chikadze · Sep 19L
KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Oct 21L
vs Mana Martinez · Oct 22Randy CostaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Boston Salmon · Oct 19W
KOvs Journey Newson · Sep 20L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 21L
KOvs Tony Kelley · Dec 21L
SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon DavisMetricRandy Costa
4.68
Strikes / min
6.53
4.62
Strikes absorbed / min
7.58
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
0.00
57%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon DavisRandy Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Davis(9 fights)Randy Costa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.027.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.247.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Brandon Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9
Randy Costa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6