Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Alexandre Pantoja won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, July 8, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrandon Moreno: Well-roundedvsAlexandre Pantoja: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Alexandre Pantoja wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Moreno has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Moreno
Red Corner
VS
Alexandre Pantoja
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
32
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24W
vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24W
vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
vs Steve Erceg · May 24W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon MorenoMetricAlexandre Pantoja
3.84
Strikes / min
4.38
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
59%
Strike defense
49%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
2.79
65%
Takedown defense
69%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.20evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon MorenoAlexandre Pantoja
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.1-16.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-175.0175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Brandon Moreno
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18
Alexandre Pantoja
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18