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Flyweight
3 Rounds
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Elo1487
Brandon Moreno
Elo1531

Brandon MorenovsJoseph MoralesUFC Prediction

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Saturday, September 12, 2026Glendale, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupBrandon Moreno: Well-roundedvsJoseph Morales: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Brandon Moreno has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Moreno
Red Corner
VS
Joseph Morales
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1487
Elo
1531
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24
W
vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24
W
vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25
L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25
L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26
latest
Joseph MoralesW2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Roberto Sanchez · Aug 17
L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 18
L
vs Eric Shelton · Nov 18
W
SUBvs Alibi Idiris · Aug 25
W
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brandon MorenoMetricJoseph Morales
3.84
Strikes / min
2.00
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.05
59%
Strike defense
57%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
1.14
65%
Takedown defense
26%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
3.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.20evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701490151015301550← oldermost recent →
Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Joseph Morales(5 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO39%

Historical win share: Brandon Moreno earned 27% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission54%

Historical win share: Joseph Morales earned 100% of wins by submission.

Decision8%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Brandon Moreno

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18

Joseph Morales

StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5