Flyweight
5 Rounds
Lone'er Kavanagh won · U-DEC R5
BM
LK
Brandon MorenovsLone'er Kavanagh
UFC Event · Saturday, February 28, 2026Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupBrandon Moreno: Well-roundedvsLone'er Kavanagh: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Brandon Moreno wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Lone'er Kavanagh wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Moreno
Red Corner
VS
Lone'er Kavanagh
Blue Corner
-198
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+166
(38%)
32
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon Moreno
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 23L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24W
vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24W
vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25Lone'er Kavanagh
oldest →latest
W
vs Jose Ochoa · Nov 24W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Mar 25L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon MorenoMetricLone'er Kavanagh
3.84
Strikes / min
4.13
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.49
59%
Strike defense
56%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
1.12
65%
Takedown defense
94%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.20evenly matched on net striking+0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon MorenoLone'er Kavanagh
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Lone'er Kavanagh(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+66.1-66.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Brandon Moreno
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18
Lone'er Kavanagh
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4