Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Van won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrandon Royval: Pressure fightervsJoshua Van: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Brandon Royval wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Joshua Van wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joshua Van has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Royval (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Royval
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Van
Blue Corner
+102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
33
Age
24
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon Royval
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 23L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 23W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edgar Chairez · Sep 24W
vs Cody Durden · Dec 24W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon RoyvalMetricJoshua Van
5.54
Strikes / min
8.43
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
43%
Strike defense
58%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
0.82
45%
Takedown defense
75%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon RoyvalJoshua Van
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Royval(10 fights)Joshua Van(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.46.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+238.0-238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Brandon Royval
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10