Flyweight
5 Rounds
Manel Kape won · KO/TKO R1
BR
MK
Brandon RoyvalvsManel Kape
UFC Event · Saturday, December 13, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrandon Royval: Pressure fightervsManel Kape: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Brandon Royval wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Manel Kape wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Manel Kape has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Royval
Red Corner
VS
Manel Kape
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
33
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon Royval
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 23L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 23W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
vs Joshua Van · Jun 25Manel KapeW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs David Dvorak · Dec 22W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon RoyvalMetricManel Kape
5.54
Strikes / min
5.04
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
4.08
43%
Strike defense
57%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
0.40
45%
Takedown defense
81%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon RoyvalManel Kape
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Royval(10 fights)Manel Kape(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.6-3.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Brandon Royval
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12
Manel Kape
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10