Flyweight
3 Rounds
Brandon Royval won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 15, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrandon Royval: Pressure fightervsRogerio Bontorin: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Brandon Royval wins(62.7%)
Actual result: Brandon Royval wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Royval (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Royval
Red Corner
VS
Rogerio Bontorin
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
33
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon RoyvalL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 23W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
vs Joshua Van · Jun 25L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25Rogerio Bontorin
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Bibulatov · Feb 19W
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Aug 19L
vs Ray Borg · Feb 20L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Mar 21W
vs Matt Schnell · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon RoyvalMetricRogerio Bontorin
5.54
Strikes / min
2.63
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
43%
Strike defense
50%
0.65
TDs / 15 min
2.90
45%
Takedown defense
51%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon RoyvalRogerio Bontorin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Royval(10 fights)Rogerio Bontorin(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.015.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Brandon Royval
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12
Rogerio Bontorin
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6