Welterweight
3 Rounds
Niko Price won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Niko Price wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Niko Price wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Thatch enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Brandon Thatch is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Thatch (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Thatch
Red Corner
VS
Niko Price
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
40
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon ThatchL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Justin Edwards · Aug 13W
KOvs Paulo Thiago · Nov 13L
SUBvs Benson Henderson · Feb 15L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Jul 15L
SUBvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Mar 16Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Morono · Jun 24L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon ThatchMetricNiko Price
2.70
Strikes / min
5.11
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
5.57
52%
Strike defense
48%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
1.06
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.93evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon ThatchNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Thatch(6 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.517.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Brandon Thatch
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Niko Price
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19