Welterweight
3 Rounds
Siyar Bahadurzada won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Siyar Bahadurzada wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Siyar Bahadurzada wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Thatch enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Thatch (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Brandon Thatch
Red Corner
VS
Siyar Bahadurzada
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
40
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon ThatchL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Justin Edwards · Aug 13W
KOvs Paulo Thiago · Nov 13L
SUBvs Benson Henderson · Feb 15L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Jul 15L
SUBvs Niko Price · Dec 16Siyar BahadurzadaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs John Howard · Dec 13W
KOvs Rob Wilkinson · Sep 17W
KOvs Luan Chagas · Apr 18L
vs Curtis Millender · Dec 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon ThatchMetricSiyar Bahadurzada
2.70
Strikes / min
2.91
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
52%
Strike defense
49%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
1.32
50%
Takedown defense
62%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.93evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brandon ThatchSiyar Bahadurzada
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Thatch(6 fights)Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.9-21.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-560.0560.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Brandon Thatch
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Siyar Bahadurzada
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8