Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Parker Porter won · KO/TKO R1
BS
PP
Braxton SmithvsParker Porter
UFC Event · Saturday, May 6, 2023Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupBraxton Smith: Pressure fightervsParker Porter: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Braxton Smith wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Parker Porter wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Parker Porter enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Parker Porter has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Braxton Smith has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Braxton Smith
Red Corner
VS
Parker Porter
Blue Corner
+148
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-176
(64%)
36
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Braxton SmithNo prior UFC fights on record.
Parker PorterL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chase Sherman · Aug 21W
vs Alan Baudot · Feb 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 22L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 23L
KOvs Junior Tafa · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Braxton SmithMetricParker Porter
6.46
Strikes / min
6.55
11.54
Strikes absorbed / min
6.32
32%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.35
100%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-5.08Δ 5.31 — meaningful gap+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Braxton SmithParker Porter
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Braxton Smith(1 fights)Parker Porter(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.6-3.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Braxton Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1
Parker Porter
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8